Paul K. Davis

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Looming Discontinuities in U. S. Military Strategy and Defense Planning
Looming Discontinuities in U. S. Military Strategy and Defense Planning
Colliding Rmas Nessitate a New Strategy »
 
 
 
 
 

Simple Models to Explore Deterrence and More General Influence in the War With al-Qaeda
Simple Models to Explore Deterrence and More General Influence in the War With al-Qaeda
 »
 
 
 
 
 

Finding Candidate Options for Investment
Finding Candidate Options for Investment
from Building Blocks to Composite Options and Preliminary Screening »
 
 
 
 
 

New Challenges For Defense Planning
New Challenges For Defense Planning
New Challenges for Defense Planning »
 
 
 
 
 

Deterrence and Influence in Counterterrorism
Deterrence and Influence in Counterterrorism
a Component in the War on Al Qaeda »
 
 
 
 
 

Effects-Based Operations (Ebo)
Effects-Based Operations (Ebo)
A Grand Challenge for the Analytical Community »
 
 
 
 
 

Dilemmas of Intervention
Dilemmas of Intervention
Social Science for Stabilization and Reconstruction »
 
 
 
 
 

Social Science for Counterterrorism
Social Science for Counterterrorism
Social Sciences for Counterterrorism »
 
 
 
 
 

Motivated Metamodels
Motivated Metamodels
Synthesis of Cause-effect Reasoning and Statistical Metamodeling »
 
 
 
 
 

Exhalt
Exhalt
An Interdiction Model for Exploring Halt Capabilities in a Large Scenario Space »